I
play fantasy basketball. Yes I realize it is akin to Dungeon and Dragons for
jocks, but I have no shame. Did I mention that I have read Twilight, but I
regress, and I just lost my credibility for all topics sports. Let me try to
earn that back.
In
the league, genealogically known as the Harris Ballers, it was brought to the attention
of the league by Guy on a Longhorn! that
-
There are 5 teams in the top half of the leader boards that are within 1 game
of each other
-
There are 4 teams in the bottom half of the leader boards that are within 3
games of each other
-
Besides first and last place (you know who you are), everyone appears to be
very evenly matched so far.
What Guy is
saying is that the league is experiencing competitive balance, most notably
when measuring competitive balance using the standard deviation of winning
percentage. More specifically, the following equation:
Simple enough
for all you stats geeks. Here are the league standings:
TEAM
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
PCT
|
GB
|
63
|
37
|
0
|
.630
|
--
|
|
54
|
42
|
4
|
.560
|
7
|
|
53
|
44
|
3
|
.545
|
8.5
|
|
53
|
45
|
2
|
.540
|
9
|
|
53
|
45
|
2
|
.540
|
9
|
|
53
|
46
|
1
|
.535
|
9.5
|
|
50
|
46
|
4
|
.520
|
11
|
|
48
|
50
|
2
|
.490
|
14
|
|
45
|
49
|
6
|
.480
|
15
|
|
45
|
52
|
3
|
.465
|
16.5
|
|
41
|
56
|
3
|
.425
|
20.5
|
|
26
|
72
|
2
|
.270
|
36
|
Thus the
standard deviation of winning percentage is approximately = .085
How does
this compare to other leagues historically? First, we need to standardize it
using what is called the Null-Scully measure of standard deviation of winning
percentage. Simple equation, just divide the previous equation by .500/(square root of the number of games).
Meaning that
the standardized winning percentage for the league is 1.71
Compared
other sports
|
the standardized winning percentage
|
MLB
|
1.69
|
NFL
|
1.66
|
NBA
|
2.71
|
So our
fantasy bball league seems comparable to MLB.
But who
cares about how close all the losers are? All that matters is the championship,
and that seems to be already determined.
So thanks
for making us losers feel like we are in good company. You have done a lot to
make my day way better, about as much as that parking ticket improved my day.